Rithm Capital Corp Stock Performance

RITM Stock  USD 10.62  0.02  0.19%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.76, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Rithm Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Rithm Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Rithm Capital Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0122%. Please make sure to check Rithm Capital's value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Rithm Capital Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rithm Capital Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Rithm Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.19
Five Day Return
0.19
Year To Date Return
(3.28)
Ten Year Return
(1.94)
All Time Return
(21.45)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0943
Payout Ratio
0.4292
Last Split Factor
1:2
Forward Dividend Rate
1
Dividend Date
2026-01-30
1
Could Rithm Capitals NonPrime RMBS Strategy Reshape Its Real Estate Credit Platform Narrative
12/10/2025
2
Acquisition by Sivin Philip M of 379 shares of Rithm Capital subject to Rule 16b-3
01/05/2026
3
Acquisition by Addas William Dean of 11486 shares of Rithm Capital subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
 
Rithm Capital dividend paid on 30th of January 2026
01/30/2026
4
Rithm Q4 Earnings Snapshot
02/03/2026
5
Rithm Capital Q4 Earnings Call Highlights
02/04/2026
6
Stock Analysis - Rithm
02/06/2026
7
3 Undervalued Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks for Thursday, February 12 - AAII
02/12/2026
8
KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2026-NQM3
02/13/2026
9
UBS lowers its price target on Rithm Capital Corp. to 15 and maintains a buy rating - MSN
02/18/2026

Rithm Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,078  in Rithm Capital Corp on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (16.00) from holding Rithm Capital Corp or give up 1.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rithm Capital Corp is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.6159% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Rithm, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rithm Capital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.16 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of volatility.

Rithm Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rithm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.62 90 days 10.62 
about 86.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rithm Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.49 (This Rithm Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Rithm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rithm Capital has a beta of 0.76 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rithm Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rithm Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rithm Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rithm Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rithm Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rithm Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rithm Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9910.6212.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.5612.7314.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0410.6712.29
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2014.5016.10
Details

Rithm Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rithm Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rithm Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rithm Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rithm Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Rithm Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rithm Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rithm Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rithm Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rithm Capital Corp currently holds about 1.71 B in cash with (2.19 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.65.
Rithm Capital Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 30th of January 2026 Rithm Capital paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS lowers its price target on Rithm Capital Corp. to 15 and maintains a buy rating - MSN

Rithm Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rithm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rithm Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rithm Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding564.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 B

Rithm Capital Fundamentals Growth

Rithm Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rithm Capital, and Rithm Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rithm Stock performance.

About Rithm Capital Performance

By examining Rithm Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Rithm Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Rithm Capital is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.92  9.43 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.12 

Things to note about Rithm Capital Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rithm Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rithm Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rithm Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rithm Capital Corp currently holds about 1.71 B in cash with (2.19 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.65.
Rithm Capital Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 30th of January 2026 Rithm Capital paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: UBS lowers its price target on Rithm Capital Corp. to 15 and maintains a buy rating - MSN
Evaluating Rithm Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rithm Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Rithm Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rithm Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rithm Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rithm Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rithm Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rithm Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rithm Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rithm Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rithm Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Rithm Capital Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Rithm Capital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Rithm Capital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Rithm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Rithm Capital Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Rithm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rithm Capital. Anticipated expansion of Rithm directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Rithm Capital data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.04
Revenue Per Share
5.832
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of Rithm Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rithm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rithm Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rithm Capital's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Rithm Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rithm Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Rithm Capital's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rithm Capital should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Rithm Capital's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.